Handicapping Week 3

Anything less than 4 wins this week was going to feel like a disappointment and the 3-2 record we posted this week feels that way. The two big market teams we took last week, the Cowboys and the Saints let us down, but at least we won our Monday nighter with the Falcons-3. I don’t know how many times I’m going to have you bet against Peyton Manning, but I’m glad we did.

On to week number 3.

Miami Dolphins vs. New York Jets Total 40

Key to this game:

The Dolphins showed us that they can score last week. What I like most about this match-up is that the strengths of the offenses match up well with the other teams weakness. The Dolphins don’t pass well, but they can run Reggie Bush all day long, and the Jets showed they can get gashed by a Bush type runner in CJ Spiller week 1. Also, the Jets can’t run the football, but believe it or not they can throw the ball down field and the Dolphins still don’t have any corners.

Take the OVER 

Cleveland Browns +3 vs. Buffalo Bills

Key to this game:

Trent Richardson showed me something last week. I was one of his most outspoken critics this offseason, and trust me there weren’t many, but he looks like he might be proving me wrong. Buffalo’s defense that they spent so much cap room on isn’t as dominant as predicted, they even gave up 17 last week to the anemic Chiefs team (more on them later). I like Cleveland to show off their youth movement this week with their young studs in Weeden, Little and Richardson.

Take the Browns and the points. 

New Orleans Saints -9 vs. Kansas City Chiefs 

Key to this game:

Easy, Jumbo, Easy

The Saints let me down last week, maybe I’m crazy, but I’m going to take them for pretty much the same reasons as I did in week 2. I’m looking for a blow out here, and I would take the over of 53 if I thought the Chiefs could score 17 points. If this were a week 1 game the line would have been at least 14 points, look for the Saints to come out of their fog. The Saints will pass early to build the lead and then go to their stable of backs in Ingram and Thomas to seal it late.

Take the Saints and give up the 9.

Detroit Lions -4 vs. Tennessee Titans 

The Titans have played a couple of teams with good offenses and average defenses, and have lost those games 34-13 and 38-10. The trend will continue this week when they face the Lions. CJZeroK can’t find the holes that the offensive line won’t open up and the Titans don’t have the weapons outside to take advantage of the bad Lions secondary.

Take the Lions and give the 4. 

Philadelphia Eagles vs. Arizona Cardinals Total 43.5

Both the Cardinals and the Eagles are scoring around 20 points per game and thats why the total line is so low. The Eagles are the better team, they are a lot more balanced, but I look for Kolb to come out and play well against his former team. I think each offense can put up 20 and I look for 2 Def/ST TD’s in this game.

Take the OVER

Last Week 3-2

Total 7-3

Monday Night Specials 2-0

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One Response to Handicapping Week 3

  1. Charlie "Jumbo" Copeland says:

    1-4! What’s the pick for Monday? Seattle +3.5 at home.

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